Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Auxerre
12.5%
Draw
7.3%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Auxerre
vs
0.63
Niort
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
4.0%
0-0
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).