Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Middlesbrough
27.5%
Draw
26.2%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Middlesbrough
vs
1.08
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).