Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Salford
26.7%
Draw
31.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Salford
vs
1.07
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).