Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Livorno
32.9%
Draw
34.0%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Livorno
vs
1.04
Modena
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).