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03 Mar 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
Sivasspor
27.1%
Draw
29.5%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Sivasspor

vs
1.53

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS68.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).