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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
33.3%
Draw
18.4%
Herne Bay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

vs
0.52

Herne Bay

Markets

BTTS25.8%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.545.8%
Over 2.520.6%
Over 3.57.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.3%
0-0
20.7%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
5.9%
3-0
4.0%
1-2
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
3-1
2.0%
2-2
1.5%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).