Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Leicester
19.9%
Draw
70.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Leicester
vs
2.27
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).