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HHT: 01CSV

29 Sept 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Arbroath
23.4%
Draw
44.5%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Arbroath

vs
1.89

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).