Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Celta
19.8%
Draw
12.1%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Celta
vs
0.77
Levante
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).