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AHT: 02CSV

14 Feb 2026 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Guingamp
22.4%
Draw
43.1%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Guingamp

vs
1.59

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).