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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.1%
Poltava
8.2%
Draw
88.8%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Poltava

vs
3.34

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
12.7%
0-2
11.4%
0-4
10.6%
0-5
7.1%
1-3
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
1-4
5.8%
1-5
3.9%
1-1
3.9%
0-0
2.2%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).