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AHT: 11CSV

05 May 2023 · 19:45

Morton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
Cove Rangers
28.2%
Draw
52.3%
Morton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Cove Rangers

vs
1.65

Morton

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).