Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Brackley Town
28.3%
Draw
58.7%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Brackley Town
vs
1.46
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.6%
0-2
14.3%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).