Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.3%
Mainz
19.6%
Draw
9.0%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Mainz
vs
0.61
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).