Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Villarreal
15.0%
Draw
9.2%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Villarreal
vs
0.83
Levante
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).