Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Castellon
21.8%
Draw
23.6%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Castellon
vs
1.21
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).