Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.2%
Benfica
11.8%
Draw
8.0%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Benfica
vs
0.88
Estoril
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).