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HHT: 22

07 Mar 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Sociedad
22.0%
Draw
39.3%
Castellon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Sociedad

vs
1.77

Castellon

Markets

BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).