Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Sociedad
22.0%
Draw
39.3%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Sociedad
vs
1.77
Castellon
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).