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AHT: 01

29 Jun 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Strømsgodset
20.9%
Draw
48.3%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Strømsgodset

vs
2.09

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS70.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
1-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).