Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.4%
Barcelona
6.4%
Draw
3.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
4.10
Barcelona
vs
0.83
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.595.8%
Over 2.586.9%
Over 3.572.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
5-1
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
4-2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
3-2
2.9%
1-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).