Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Cesena
26.4%
Draw
54.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cesena
vs
1.68
Monza
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).