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AHT: 02CSV

26 Aug 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.6%
Verona
15.4%
Draw
76.0%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Verona

vs
2.41

Juventus

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.4%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).