Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Rochdale
21.0%
Draw
10.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Rochdale
vs
0.65
Sutton
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).