Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Union Berlin
31.1%
Draw
21.9%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Union Berlin
vs
0.78
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).