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27 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
La Coruna
26.7%
Draw
26.1%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

La Coruna

vs
0.97

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).