Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.2%
Portsmouth
14.0%
Draw
7.8%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Portsmouth
vs
0.58
Accrington
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.6%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).