Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Doncaster
23.3%
Draw
23.3%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Doncaster
vs
1.01
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).