Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Carrarese
27.5%
Draw
27.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Carrarese
vs
1.16
Empoli
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).