Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Bayern Munich
10.1%
Draw
6.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
3.74
Bayern Munich
vs
1.15
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.595.8%
Over 2.586.5%
Over 3.571.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
5-1
5.3%
5-0
4.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
1-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).