⚽ FootballData
Verona

Home

0 – 5
AHT: 02CSV

18 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
10.2%
Verona
18.6%
Draw
71.2%
Atalanta

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Verona

vs
2.06

Atalanta

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.5%
0-1
14.3%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
2-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).