Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Preston
30.0%
Draw
42.3%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Preston
vs
1.31
Millwall
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).