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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Colney Heath
28.4%
Draw
55.6%
Takeley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Colney Heath

vs
1.30

Takeley

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.8%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).