Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Sirius
21.8%
Draw
55.8%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Sirius
vs
2.24
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).