Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Oxford
30.6%
Draw
41.8%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Oxford
vs
1.25
Norwich
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).