Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Watford
31.6%
Draw
25.4%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Watford
vs
0.87
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).