Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
Shildon AFC
11.6%
Draw
13.0%
Birtley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
Shildon AFC
vs
1.82
Birtley Town
Markets
BTTS82.1%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.597.8%
Over 2.592.7%
Over 3.582.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-2
5.3%
5-1
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
5-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).