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AHT: 01CSV

24 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Dundee United
28.7%
Draw
34.1%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Dundee United

vs
1.19

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).