Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.2%
Gil Vicente
12.2%
Draw
5.7%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Gil Vicente
vs
0.53
AVS
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).