Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Luzern
24.8%
Draw
34.1%
Basel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Luzern
vs
1.73
Basel
Markets
BTTS71.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).