Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Elche
31.1%
Draw
31.1%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Elche
vs
0.95
Getafe
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).