Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
Molde
10.0%
Draw
4.7%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Molde
vs
0.62
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).