Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Aldershot
26.2%
Draw
23.6%
Kidderminster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Aldershot
vs
1.08
Kidderminster
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).