⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
H

20 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
70.3%
Basford United
22.4%
Draw
7.3%
Broxbourne Borough V&E

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Basford United

vs
0.33

Broxbourne Borough V&E

Markets

BTTS22.4%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
23.2%
2-0
18.7%
0-0
13.9%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-0
1.3%
1-2
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).