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25 Apr 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.9%
Antwerp
30.8%
Draw
54.3%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Antwerp

vs
1.28

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS30.7%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.1%
0-0
16.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-1
3.0%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).