Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Vallecano
28.2%
Draw
14.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Vallecano
vs
0.56
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
0-0
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).