Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Reggiana
26.0%
Draw
57.1%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Reggiana
vs
1.70
Parma
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).