Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.0%
Chaves
10.0%
Draw
86.0%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Chaves
vs
2.82
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.0%
0-3
14.1%
0-1
10.9%
0-4
10.0%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-5
5.6%
1-1
4.6%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
2.6%
1-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).