Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Espanol
31.5%
Draw
31.2%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Espanol
vs
0.94
Getafe
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).