Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Crewe
25.0%
Draw
32.8%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Crewe
vs
1.13
Burton
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).