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09 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.4%
Schalke 04
30.7%
Draw
37.9%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Schalke 04

vs
1.22

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).